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UnitedHealth Dropped From Russell Growth: How to Trade UNH Now
ZACKSยท 2025-07-01 14:36
Core Insights - UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) has been removed from several Russell growth-style indices, indicating a significant decline in stock price and a shift away from traditional growth metrics [1][6] - The company's stock has underperformed severely, dropping 40.4% in the past three months, which is significantly worse than the broader industry decline of 31.6% and the S&P 500's gain of 9% during the same period [3][6] Financial Performance - UnitedHealth missed both earnings and revenue expectations in the first quarter and withdrew its full-year 2025 financial guidance, with rising medical costs particularly affecting the Medicare Advantage segment [5][11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UNH's 2025 EPS has seen 13 downward revisions in the past 60 days, projecting a decline of 20.2% despite a revenue increase of 12.3% year over year [11] Market Position and Valuation - Although UNH appears attractively priced with a forward P/E of 13.15X, it remains above the industry average of 11.92X, indicating it is not necessarily a bargain despite the recent selloff [13] - The company continues to return capital to shareholders, having returned over $5 billion in the first quarter through dividends and stock repurchases, and raised its quarterly dividend by 5.2% [18] Operational Challenges - Leadership instability has compounded operational challenges, with CEO Andrew Witty stepping down unexpectedly and the company facing criminal investigations related to alleged Medicare fraud [7][10] - Regulatory scrutiny is increasing, particularly concerning Optum Rx, UnitedHealth's pharmacy benefit manager, which may face challenges from ongoing regulatory changes [10] Strategic Outlook - Despite current challenges, UnitedHealth is investing in technology and analytics, particularly in value-based care, which could stabilize earnings in the future [15] - Long-term demographic trends, such as an aging population and rising chronic disease rates, remain favorable for UnitedHealth's business model [16]