Donald Trump’s delay of tariff increases until August 1 may have just softened the price impact for Christmas by pushing it into 2026, according to UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan https://t.co/uF3hV0dbQa ...

ab 13 June 2025 Global Research Global Strategy EM Credit: Mid-year Outlook - How to navigate 2H25 Fiscal dynamics, valuations and oil to weigh; US flows to partly offset Conflicting factors are pulling EM credit in different directions as the middle of the year approaches. On the macro side, EM fiscal G-R dynamics, taken as a whole, are weakening (point #1 below) while valuations are expensive again by historical standards (at least 1 STD below 10y avg. across all rating buckets, see Figure 1EM spreadnow g ...

June 13, 2025 06:50 AM GMT China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. | Asia Pacific Research Tactical Idea We believe the share price will rise in absolute terms over the next 15 days. This is because oil prices have risen sharply amid concerns over disruption in energy supplies from the Middle East. In our view, the share price could rebound after trading off on recent oil price weakness. We estimate that there is about a 70% to 80% (or "very likely") probability for the scenario. Estimated probabilities are illust ...

M Idea The Viewpoint: When Will Higher Oil Prices Start to Affect Asia? Oil prices have spiked due to supply concerns but the effects on Asia should be manageable given a lower oil burden than before and moderate inflation. However, if oil prices move even higher to above US$85/bbl and a stronger USD is sustained, it may lead to delays in rate cuts. Key Takeaways In the event that oil prices rise above US$85/bbl in a sustained manner, on a relative basis within the region, Thailand, Korea, Taiwan, and India ...