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BlackRock Rides on Private Market Growth: Is Now the Time to Buy BLK?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-17 14:56
Core Insights - BlackRock Inc. plans to expand its presence in private markets, targeting $400 billion in fundraising by 2030, with expectations for the private credit market to grow from $1.6 trillion in 2023 to $4.5 trillion by 2030 [2][3] - The company aims to double its operating income to $15 billion and market capitalization to $280 billion by 2030, with an annual revenue target exceeding $35 billion, indicating a 10% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - BlackRock is pursuing strategic acquisitions to enhance its capabilities in private markets, including the purchase of Preqin for $3.2 billion, Global Infrastructure Partners, and HPS Investment for $12.1 billion [5][6][12] - The integration of acquired data and technology into its Aladdin platform is expected to drive revenue growth [7][12] Financial Performance - As of March 31, 2025, BlackRock's total assets under management (AUM) reached a record $11.58 trillion, with net inflows of $83 billion, supported by strong ETF and active equity contributions [9][11] - The company has experienced a five-year CAGR of 9.2% in AUM and a 7% CAGR in GAAP revenues over the past five years [9][11] Product Diversification - BlackRock's product diversification efforts, including the launch of iShares Bitcoin and collaborations to enhance retail investor access to alternative investments, are expected to bolster revenue and reduce concentration risk [10][11] - The company aims for organic base fee growth of 5% or more and an adjusted operating margin of 45% or more by 2030 [4] Valuation and Shareholder Returns - BlackRock's price-to-book ratio of 3.13X is lower than the industry average of 3.49X, indicating a potential discount for investors [23][27] - The company has a share repurchase plan, aiming to buy back $1.5 billion worth of shares in 2025, and has increased its quarterly dividend by 2% to $5.21 per share [18][25] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have revised earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 upward, reflecting positive sentiment towards BlackRock's growth prospects [15][31]