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Ondas' Revenue Targets: Can OAS Carry the Load Without Networks?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 15:20
Core Insights - Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS) is focusing on the lucrative drone market through its Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) division, which has become the main growth driver for the company, with revenues increasing over sixfold year over year to $10.1 million, primarily from OAS [1][9] Group 1: Business Performance - OAS contributed $10 million in revenue compared to just $1 million a year earlier, indicating strong growth potential [1] - Ondas expects full-year revenues to be at least $36 million for 2025, with fourth-quarter revenues estimated to exceed $15 million, and anticipates revenues of at least $110 million in 2026 [5][9] Group 2: Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its capabilities through strategic partnerships and acquisitions, including areas such as unmanned ground systems, robotics, and fiber optic communications [2] - Ondas Networks is seen as a longer-term catalyst, with the adoption of the IEEE 802.16t upgrade expected to drive a multi-year upgrade cycle across AAR-owned frequencies [3][4] Group 3: Challenges and Outlook - While OAS is driving growth, the company faces challenges in scaling the business and managing integration risks amid ongoing acquisitions [6] - Management has indicated that current revenue expectations from Ondas Networks are modest compared to the OAS business, with significant adoption of dot16 expected by 2026 [4][6] Group 4: Market Position - ONDS shares have surged 38.9% in the past month, reflecting positive market sentiment [11] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for ONDS is 31.82, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.13, indicating a premium valuation [12]