Project selection strategy
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Is Sterling's Project Selection Enough to Drive Superior Returns?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:11
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) has shifted focus from low-bid projects to large, mission-critical developments, particularly in the data center market, which has become a key growth driver with triple-digit revenue growth year over year [1][9] Financial Performance - The company's profitability metrics have improved significantly, with gross margins expanding due to a better project mix, tighter risk controls, and improved pricing discipline [2] - Stronger operating cash flow generation has provided financial flexibility for debt reduction, share repurchases, and strategic acquisitions [2] Project Strategy - Disciplined project selection has led to a sharp increase in backlog, primarily driven by the E-Infrastructure segment, providing multiyear revenue visibility [3] - The selective bidding strategy has resulted in higher margins, stronger cash flows, and improved returns on capital, reinforcing the importance of project selection in Sterling's performance [4] Competitive Landscape - Sterling faces competition from key players like Quanta Services, Inc. and EMCOR Group, Inc., with Quanta focusing on power generation and EMCOR on mechanical and electrical contracting services [5][6] - Sterling differentiates itself by combining site development with mission-critical electrical services, allowing for faster revenue conversion and higher growth exposure to data center demand [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - STRL shares have increased by 34.9% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Engineering - R and D Services industry, the broader Construction sector, and the S&P 500 Index [8] - The stock is currently trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.65 [11] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 imply year-over-year growth of 71% and 14.6%, respectively, with current estimates remaining unchanged over the past 60 days [12]