Workflow
Property Bubble Deflation
icon
Search documents
Evergrande's $50 billion rise and fall leaves scars on China's property sector
CNBCยท 2025-08-25 10:42
Core Viewpoint - China Evergrande Group has been delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant decline from its previous status as a leading developer in China, now recognized as the world's most indebted developer with over $300 billion in debt [1][3][22] Company Summary - Evergrande's market capitalization peaked at $51 billion in 2017 but has since plummeted to approximately $280 million following a liquidation order [2] - The company was once the largest developer in China by sales but is now facing a prolonged crisis that has affected the broader economy [3][5] - Evergrande has delivered 1.2 million homes in the last four years, with over 95% of sold units completed, but still has numerous unfinished projects and a significant number of homebuyers awaiting their homes [21] Industry Summary - China's housing market has been in a downturn for four years, with new home prices falling 3.2% year-on-year in June and 2.8% in July, alongside a decline in real estate-related investments [4][6] - The property bubble peaked in 2021, with sales volumes of new residential properties halving over four years, and prices dropping significantly in both smaller cities and major urban areas [6] - The ongoing housing market correction is expected to continue impacting China's GDP, with forecasts indicating a reduction in the drag from 2.5 percentage points in 2022 to 1.5 percentage points in 2025, and further down to 0.3 percentage points by 2027 [7] - Recent government measures aim to stimulate home demand, including easing purchase restrictions and lowering mortgage rates, which has led to a rally in shares of Chinese developers [9][10] - The consolidation of the industry is anticipated, with state-owned developers likely to take over distressed assets and complete unfinished projects, as private developers face significant restructuring challenges [14][16][18]