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Jerome Powell's Wednesday Press Conference Shows Why He Must Step Down
Forbesยท 2025-10-31 13:25
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's current operational flaws necessitate a significant overhaul and new leadership, as highlighted by Jerome Powell's recent press conference following the central bank's policymaking meeting [1]. Group 1: Interest Rate Decisions - The Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% was anticipated, but Powell's indication that another cut next month is uncertain surprised many, citing economic uncertainty exacerbated by a government shutdown [2]. - Powell emphasized the mixed signals in the economy, with strong consumer spending but unstable labor markets, likening the situation to "driving in the fog" [2]. Group 2: Economic Understanding - The Fed's belief that prosperity leads to inflation is fundamentally flawed, as it creates a bias against a robust economy, which distorts market signals and hinders proper economic functioning [3]. - The central bank's attempts to suppress prices disrupt the natural supply and demand dynamics essential for a healthy economy [3]. Group 3: Monetary Policy and Dollar Stability - The Fed's primary responsibility should be to maintain a stable dollar, which is currently weak, yet Powell did not address this issue during his remarks [4]. - The Fed's balance sheet has ballooned to 21% of GDP, significantly higher than the pre-2008 level of 6%, indicating an excessive accumulation of securities [5]. Group 4: Balance Sheet Management - Powell announced that the Fed will cease reducing its balance sheet size without providing a credible rationale, suggesting that the institution values its power over sound monetary policy [6]. - The Fed's holdings of $6.6 trillion in securities grant it substantial influence over the financial marketplace, affecting credit availability across sectors [6]. Group 5: Foreign Reserves and Inflation Target - Approximately 40% of the reserves on which the Fed pays interest are from foreign banks, implying that American taxpayers are subsidizing these institutions [7]. - The 2% inflation target set by the Fed lacks a solid foundation, as it appears to have been arbitrarily determined [7].