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Defense Stock Looks Ready for Next Charge Higher
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-12 20:11
Core Insights - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc (NASDAQ:KTOS) has experienced a recent pullback, trading at $75.99 after reaching a record high of $112.57 on October 9, but remains up 188.7% year over year [1] Price Movement and Technical Analysis - KTOS has retraced to its 80-day moving average, and is currently within 0.75 of the trendline's 20-day average true range (ATR), having stayed above it 80% of the time in the past two weeks and 42 trading days [2] - Historical data indicates that similar signals have occurred 16 times in the past decade, with the stock being higher one month later 69% of the time, averaging an 8.5% gain, which could position KTOS at $82.44 [2] Options Market Sentiment - A reduction in pessimism within the options market could further boost KTOS, as indicated by its put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) ranking in the 93rd percentile over the past year [4] - The stock has a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 82 out of 100, suggesting it tends to outperform options traders' volatility expectations [4]
Aviation Stock Looks Ready for a Trip Lower
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-09-26 18:08
Core Insights - FTAI Aviation Ltd is trading near its 2025 highs, specifically at $180, which is associated with peak call open interest [1] - The stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) is in the 80th percentile, indicating potential for significant price reversions [1] - Options traders are currently pricing in low volatility expectations, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 43%, ranking in the 5th percentile over the past year [2] - FTAI has historically outperformed these volatility expectations, as indicated by a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 96 out of 100 [2] - The recommended November put option has a leverage ratio of 5.2, which will double with a 16.9% decline in the underlying security [2]
Energy Stock Could Bounce Off Bullish Trendline
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-10 19:23
Core Viewpoint - EQT Corp is experiencing a pullback from its record high, but still maintains a strong year-to-date performance and potential for recovery due to bullish signals [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - EQT Corp is currently down 1.5% at $54.06, following a peak of $61.02 on June 23 [1]. - The stock has a year-to-date gain of 17.4%, with support at $52 likely to mitigate further losses [1]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - EQT is within one standard deviation of its 126-day moving average, having traded above this trendline in at least eight of the last ten trading days [2]. - Historically, similar conditions have led to a 60% chance of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 7.1% [2]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - Short-term options traders are exhibiting bearish sentiment, as indicated by a put/call open interest ratio of 1.36, ranking in the 92nd percentile of annual readings [3]. - A potential unwinding of this pessimism could provide additional support for EQT's stock [3]. Group 4: Options Market - Options are currently seen as an affordable strategy for investors looking to capitalize on EQT's future movements, with a Volatility Index of 33% in the 9th percentile of its annual range [4]. - This low volatility expectation suggests that options traders are anticipating minimal price fluctuations in the near term [4].