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Nearly $6 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expire Ahead of September CPI
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-10-24 06:07
Core Insights - Approximately $6 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire, testing market resilience as open interest and trader positioning reach new records [1][2] - The options expiry is occurring during a period of subdued volatility, with potential implications for market sentiment towards Bitcoin, Ethereum, and broader digital assets [2][8] Options Expiry Details - On October 24, $5.86 billion in options related to Bitcoin and Ethereum will mature at 8:00 UTC on Deribit, with $5.1 billion in Bitcoin options and $754 million in Ethereum options expiring [2][3] - The 'max pain' points for options expiry are identified at $113,000 for Bitcoin and $3,950 for Ethereum, which may influence trader expectations [4] Market Sentiment and Positioning - Current put-to-call ratios are 0.90 for Bitcoin and 0.77 for Ethereum, indicating cautious optimism towards potential price increases, despite near-term uncertainties [5] - Implied volatility is currently around 40 for Bitcoin and 60 for Ethereum, reflecting a pause in extreme price movements [6][7] - There is strong demand for long-dated Ethereum calls extending into 2026, suggesting optimism about Ethereum's long-term prospects [8] Macroeconomic Context - The options expiry coincides with significant macroeconomic events, including key US inflation data and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which could impact market dynamics [8] - Analysts warn that unexpected news could lead to renewed volatility in the market [9] Historical Context - Historically, options expiry has led to short-term price swings and volatility spikes, but conditions typically stabilize after the expiry time as traders adjust to the new market environment [10]