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MP's Loss Streak Continued in 2025: Can It Stage a Comeback This Year?
ZACKS· 2026-03-31 17:27
Core Insights - MP Materials Corp. has reported operating losses for ten consecutive quarters, primarily due to high production costs associated with the transition to separated rare earth products, resulting in a loss per share of 44 cents in 2024 and a narrower loss of 24 cents in 2025 [1][12] Financial Performance - In 2024, the cost of sales nearly doubled to $192.6 million from $92.7 million in 2023, driven by the ramp-up of separated rare earth production, which has higher per-unit costs due to additional processing [2] - The cost of sales remained elevated at $192.8 million in 2025, reflecting increased sales of NdPr oxide and metal, along with costs associated with magnetic precursor products [3] - Operating expenses increased significantly, with SG&A expenses rising 5% in 2024 and 35% in 2025, leading to total operating losses of $169 million in 2024 and $149.4 million in 2025 [4] Future Outlook - As MP continues to ramp up production of separated products and expand its capabilities, cost pressures may persist into 2026, but increasing production volumes of NdPr and sales of magnetic precursor products are expected to support revenue growth [5][6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MP Materials' earnings in 2026 is projected at 35 cents per share, improving from the loss of 24 cents in 2025, with an estimate of $1.13 per share for 2027, indicating a 221% year-over-year improvement [13] Market Position - MP Materials' shares have gained 86.8% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 38.2% [11] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales multiple of 15.43X, significantly higher than the industry's 1.41X [15]