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NVIDIA Regains Its Lost Glory - Should You Buy on the Dip and Hold?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-26 13:10
Core Insights - NVIDIA Corp. has regained its position as the world's most valuable company with a market capitalization of $3.763 trillion, surpassing Microsoft Corp. [1] - The stock price reached an all-time high of $154.31, reflecting a significant recovery from previous lows [1][3] - Despite facing export restrictions that could cost $8 billion in sales, NVIDIA's stock surged nearly 80% since early April, driven by strong demand for AI chips [3][8] Financial Performance - NVIDIA's stock price previously peaked at $149.41 in January before declining due to competitive pressures and trade restrictions [2] - The company reported a year-over-year revenue growth of over 15% and a remarkable recovery from its recent lows [3] - Automotive revenues increased by 72% year-over-year to $567 million, with expectations to exceed $5 billion in fiscal 2026 [14] Innovation and Product Development - NVIDIA is committed to ongoing innovation, with the successful launch of Hopper GPUs and upcoming Blackwell GPUs [5] - The company plans to unveil Blackwell Ultra in the second half of 2025 and Vera Rubin in 2026, with future products like Rubin Next and Feynman AI chips scheduled for 2027 and 2028 [6] - The shift towards reasoning AI models is seen as a growth opportunity, with NVIDIA's upcoming chips expected to significantly enhance data center revenue [10][12] Market Dynamics - A bullish demand scenario is supported by major tech companies planning to invest $325 billion in AI infrastructure by 2025, marking a 46% increase in capital spending [7] - The total addressable global sovereign AI market is estimated to be $1.5 trillion, indicating substantial growth potential [9] - NVIDIA's CEO highlighted that the competition from DeepSeek AI has opened new growth avenues rather than posing a threat [10] Growth Projections - NVIDIA has an expected revenue growth rate of 51.4% and earnings growth rate of 42.1% for the current fiscal year [15] - Long-term EPS growth is projected at 28.2%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's growth rate of 12.6% [16] - The company maintains a high return on equity (ROE) of 105.09%, compared to the industry average of 4.95% [17]