These are the only recession signals that matter to investors now - MarketWatch# These are the only recession signals that matter to investors now## Watch the housing market, says this economistPublished: Feb. 18, 2026 at 8:35 a.m. ETShareResize---Listen(3 min)Residential investment, transportation and durable goods are the best lead indicators of a recession, finds this economist Photo: Getty ImagesInvestors wanting to anticipate major economic shifts or downturns should not focus on the monthly data or ev ...