Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 is approaching a significant breakdown, currently positioned just below the critical technical resistance level of 6812, which corresponds to the 20-week moving average on a 5-year chart [1] Group 1 - The S&P 500 is at risk of a major breakdown if it fails to maintain its position above the key resistance level [1]

Core Insights - ADP reported job losses in four out of the last six months, indicating a potential recession [1] - The S&P 500 is currently trading at a bubble-like valuation, suggesting that investors may be facing recessionary conditions [1] Employment Trends - Job losses reported by ADP are consistent with recessionary indicators, as four out of the last six months have shown negative employment growth [1] Market Valuation - The S&P 500's current valuation is described as bubble-like, raising concerns about the sustainability of market prices in the face of potential economic downturns [1]

Core Insights - The article provides a quarterly update on the S&P 500, focusing on long-term investment perspectives and highlighting bubble risks in the market [1]. Group 1 - The previous update in July emphasized the potential bubble risk associated with the S&P 500 [1].