Summary of China Renewable Energy Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Renewable Energy** sector, specifically the solar module and inverter markets. Key Points on Solar Modules - **Export Value Decline**: China's solar module export value decreased by **15.3% year-over-year (yoy)** to **US$23,698 million** in 2025, despite a **13.7% yoy** increase in export volume to **268.3 GW** [1][2] - **December Performance**: In December 2025, the export value was **US$1,825 million**, reflecting a **6.5% yoy** increase but a **1.7% month-over-month (mom)** decline [2] - **Regional Demand**: The increase in export volume in December was primarily driven by: - **Europe**: **45.2% yoy** increase to **7.9 GW**, with significant contributions from Italy, the Netherlands, and Poland - **Asia (excluding China)**: **20.8% yoy** increase to **7.6 GW**, mainly from the UAE, South Korea, and the Philippines - **Africa**: **47.5% yoy** increase to **2.0 GW** [2] Key Points on Inverters - **Export Value Growth**: China's inverter export value rose by **9.3% yoy** to **US$9,042 million** in 2025, with a notable **26.1% yoy** increase to **US$839 million** in December [1][4] - **Regional Demand**: The demand for inverters in December was significantly boosted by: - **Europe**: **36.5% yoy** increase to **US$306 million**, driven by demand from Ukraine and Eastern European countries supporting residential energy storage systems (ESS) - **Africa**: **97.8% yoy** increase to **US$100 million**, with Egypt, South Africa, and Nigeria being key contributors - **Oceania**: **149.3% yoy** increase to **US$62 million**, supported by subsidy policies for residential ESS projects in Australia [4][6] Production and Installation Trends - **Module Production Decline**: China's module production volume decreased by **1.2% yoy** to **563.2 GW** in the first 20 months of 2025, with a projected further decline of **14.8% yoy** to **32.5 GW** in January 2026 due to seasonal factors [3] - **Solar Installation Growth**: Solar installations in China increased by **33.2% yoy** to **274.9 GW** in the first 11 months of 2025, although November saw a **11.9% yoy** decline to **22.0 GW** [3] Investment Preferences - The report suggests a preference for inverter companies such as **Sungrow** and **Deye**, which are expected to benefit from the growth in ESS demand [1] Risks - Potential risks affecting the inverter market include: - Lower-than-expected demand for residential and commercial energy storage in emerging markets - Increased price competition among inverter manufacturers - Higher trade tariffs on Chinese inverter products in international markets [15][17] Valuation Insights - **Deye Technology**: Target price set at **Rmb102.0/share**, based on a DCF model, anticipating sustainable growth in energy storage demand [14] - **Sungrow Power Supply**: Target price set at **Rmb240.00/share**, also based on a DCF valuation, reflecting long-term growth potential [16] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding the current state and future outlook of the China Renewable Energy sector, particularly focusing on solar modules and inverters.