Workflow
Renewable energy demand
icon
Search documents
中国追踪-中东危机:中国企业传递的运营情况-光伏组件板块-China tracker_ Middle East crisis - What Chinese corporates are telling us about their operations_ Solar Modules
2026-04-01 09:59
Summary of the Conference Call on the Solar Module Sector Amid the Middle East Crisis Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Solar Module sector** and how the ongoing **Middle East crisis** is affecting operations and demand for solar modules and energy storage systems (ESS) [1] Core Insights Demand and Orderbook - Most solar module companies view the crisis as a long-term structural demand opportunity due to increased global energy self-sufficiency awareness rather than a short-term operational threat [2] - Company A reported no significant impact on module installation demand, but a month-over-month decline in module production is expected in April [3] - Company B noted no changes in solar demand installation since the conflict began, with a likely single-digit month-over-month decline in module production [10] - Company C anticipates delays in planned projects in Saudi Arabia and UAE due to travel restrictions, while EU distributed solar demand has exceeded expectations [14] - Company D has seen a meaningful increase in order inquiries in the EU and expects a 10 percentage point increase in utilization rates in April [18] - Company E reported no meaningful changes in module or ESS demand, with customer inquiries remaining stable [21] - Company F expects a 10% month-over-month decline in module production pipeline in April, with no significant demand changes observed [25] Operations - Shipments to the Middle East have been postponed, affecting 0%-10% of shipments for surveyed companies in FY25 [6] - Company A's postponed shipments to the Middle East account for 5% of its FY25 shipment, with concentrated delivery expected in the second half of 2026 if the conflict eases [7] - Logistics costs to the EU have increased due to diverted routes and higher oil prices resulting from disruptions in the Straits of Hormuz [6][26] - Companies have not identified any specific raw materials at risk, as the local supply chain remains oversupplied [8][12][24] Potential Supply Chain Risks - If the crisis continues, the importance of renewable energy is expected to rise, potentially driving more demand for solar and ESS in the long run [9] - Companies anticipate higher logistics costs and longer shipping durations if disruptions persist [9] Other Important Insights - Company D's 10GW capacity in Jinan is under construction, and if EU demand remains strong, they may accelerate production base construction [20] - Company C's Oman capacity (6GW Cell + 3GW Module) is on track to launch in Q1 2026 [13] - Company E has a very small exposure to the Middle East and has halted shipments, with logistics to the EU also experiencing delays [22] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the impact of the Middle East crisis on the solar module sector, highlighting demand trends, operational challenges, and potential future risks.