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5 Stocks Poised to Benefit as US-NATO Tensions Escalate Over Tariffs and Greenland
Investing· 2026-01-21 08:20
Core Viewpoint - Rising US-NATO tensions over tariffs and Greenland's strategic resources are expected to drive a rally in defense, mining, and industrial stocks, with five companies highlighted as key beneficiaries: Lockheed Martin, RTX, Critical Metals, Teck Resources, and Caterpillar [1] Group 1: Lockheed Martin - Lockheed Martin is positioned as a major beneficiary of escalating US-NATO tensions, particularly due to Greenland's strategic importance and the need for advanced military systems [2] - The company's F-35 fighter jets and missile defense technologies are critical for Arctic operations, with shares climbing about 19% year-to-date in 2026, driven by a proposed $1.5 trillion defense budget for 2027 [3][4] Group 2: RTX - RTX, formerly Raytheon, benefits from its defense technology portfolio that meets the complex requirements of Arctic operations, with its Patriot missile defense system gaining renewed importance [5][6] - RTX stock has risen approximately 7% year-to-date in 2026, building on a 60% gain in 2025, supported by a record $251 billion backlog and surging orders from the Middle East [6][7] Group 3: Critical Metals - Critical Metals owns the Tanbreez project, the largest non-Chinese rare earth deposit in Greenland, which aligns with U.S. acquisition ambitions amid geopolitical tensions [8][9] - The company has seen its stock skyrocket almost 150% in 2026, driven by high-grade drilling results and approval for its Greenland pilot plant, with potential to control 50% of the Western rare earth market [9][10] Group 4: Teck Resources - Teck Resources is a diversified miner with exposure to key industrial metals, positioned to benefit from strong commodity demand and geopolitical competition [11][12] - The company has gained around 5% year-to-date, reaching new 52-week highs amid copper price surges, with analysts targeting $80–90 per share due to structural supply deficits [12][13] Group 5: Caterpillar - Caterpillar is a significant beneficiary through its heavy machinery essential for Arctic infrastructure development and military base construction [14][15] - The company has advanced about 10% year-to-date in 2026, following a 58% run in 2025, with a record $39.9 billion backlog and projected 20.5% EPS growth [15][16]