Retail earnings season
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Everybody won't succeed this earnings season, says J Rogers Kniffen CEO Jan Kniffen
Youtubeยท 2025-11-19 20:47
Core Insights - Retail performance shows mixed results, with some retailers thriving while others, like Target, are struggling significantly [2][6][7] Retail Performance - October retail sales increased by nearly 5%, slightly down from almost 6% in September, indicating a generally positive trend [1] - Despite overall growth, not all retailers are benefiting equally; Target reported a negative 2.7% comparable store sales, contrasting with expectations for Walmart to report a 4% increase [2][3] Consumer Behavior - The lowest income consumers are facing challenges, spending only 8% of their income, while the top 20% continue to spend robustly [4] - Wages are rising faster than inflation, unemployment remains low, and inflation is lower than the previous year, contributing to a favorable consumer environment [5] Company-Specific Insights - Target's stock has plummeted from $230 in 2021 to $85, highlighting its struggles in the competitive retail landscape [6] - Walmart, Costco, and Home Depot are currently leading the retail sector, with Walmart capturing a significant share of Target's traditional customer base [7] - Target is undergoing a $5 billion store remodeling project to enhance competitiveness, but the effectiveness of these changes remains uncertain [9]