Retailer inventory destocking

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Nomad Foods(NOMD) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Reported net revenues decreased by 3% to €760 million, with organic sales declining by 3.6% and volume declining by 3.7% [23][24] - Gross margin increased by 90 basis points year on year to 27.8% [24] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 1.8% year on year to €120 million, while adjusted EPS fell by 5.4% to €0.35 due to net sales contraction [26][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for growth platforms rose by 36% year over year in the first quarter, with chicken performing particularly well [15] - Retail sell-through was slightly positive at +0.2%, indicating that sell-in led sell-through by nearly four percentage points [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The frozen category in Europe remains healthy, with growth recently accelerating, driven by improved volume and value gains [12][13] - The category has outgrown the overall food industry by nearly one percentage point over the past decade [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on long-term health by continuing to invest in brands and products despite current headwinds [11] - A new master brand advertising campaign is set to launch, emphasizing the taste appeal and nutritional profile of frozen food brands, particularly in the fish category [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged headwinds from retailer inventory destocking and increased consumer value-seeking behavior, leading to a revised outlook for organic revenue growth [10][29] - The company expects organic sales to return to growth beginning in the second quarter, with profitable growth anticipated for the remainder of the year [23][31] Other Important Information - The company repurchased €49 million of shares and paid €25 million in dividends in the first quarter, marking a 152% increase in total cash returned to shareholders compared to the previous year [9][28] - Adjusted free cash flow conversion ratio fell to 24% due to higher working capital pressures [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of retailer destocking - Management noted that destocking was broad-based across 12 to 13 countries, with greater than expected impacts [36][37] Question: Outlook for category growth - Management confirmed that the category remains healthy, with expectations for market share growth despite some softness in the UK [40][41] Question: New product innovation and consumer shifts - Management indicated that new consumers are shifting from both smaller brands and private labels, with a focus on snacking occasions [48][51] Question: Input cost increases - Input costs are primarily rising in proteins, particularly chicken and red meat, due to demand and external factors like avian flu [58] Question: Pricing strategy amidst consumer trading down - Management acknowledged that consumers are seeking value, and pricing strategies will be a combination of various factors, including advertising and product innovation [64][66]
Nomad Foods(NOMD) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Reported net revenues decreased by 3% to €760 million, with organic sales declining by 3.6% and volume declining by 3.7% [23][24] - Gross margin increased by 90 basis points year on year to 27.8% [24] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 1.8% year on year to €120 million, while adjusted EPS fell by 5.4% to €0.35 due to net sales contraction [26][29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for growth platforms rose by 36% year over year in the first quarter, with chicken performing particularly well [14] - Retail sell-through was slightly positive at +0.2%, indicating that sell-in led sell-through by nearly four percentage points [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The frozen category in Europe remains healthy, with growth recently accelerating driven by improved volume and value gains [11][12] - The UK market is experiencing some softness, particularly in the ice cream segment, which is expected to impact margins [41][68] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on long-term health by continuing to invest in brands and products despite current headwinds [10][30] - A new master brand advertising campaign is set to launch, emphasizing the taste appeal and nutritional profile of frozen food brands, particularly in the fish category [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by retailer inventory destocking and increased consumer value-seeking behavior [9][10] - The full-year organic revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS growth ranges have been lowered due to these challenges [10][29] Other Important Information - The company repurchased €49 million of shares and paid €25 million in dividends in the first quarter, marking a 152% increase in total cash returned to shareholders compared to the previous year [8][28] - The company expects to achieve profitable growth for the remainder of the year despite the current headwinds [23][31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of retailer destocking - Management noted that destocking was broad-based across 12 to 13 countries and various segments, with greater than expected impacts [35][37] Question: Expectations for category growth and market share - Management indicated that the category remains healthy, with expectations for growth in the next quarters and a slight recovery in market share [39][40] Question: Insights on new product innovation and consumer shifts - Management highlighted that innovations are increasingly catering to snacking occasions, attracting new consumers from both frozen and fresh categories [47][50] Question: Input cost increases - Management clarified that input cost increases are primarily related to proteins, with no significant tariff impacts currently observed [58] Question: Pricing strategy amidst consumer trading down - Management acknowledged the volatility in consumer behavior and emphasized a balanced approach to pricing, innovation, and advertising [64][66] Question: Outlook for organic growth - Management expects a combination of volume and price growth, with volume growth anticipated in the second quarter and pricing strategies to kick in later [67][69]