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Navigating the Robotaxi Revolution: Uber, Lyft, EPS Preview
ZACKSยท 2025-08-04 14:35
Group 1: Market Overview - Uber Technologies and Lyft dominate the American rideshare market, with Uber holding approximately 75% of the market share and expanding into food delivery through Uber Eats [1] - Lyft primarily focuses on ridesharing but has also ventured into bike and scooter rentals [1] Group 2: Earnings Information - Uber is set to report earnings on August 6, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.62, reflecting a year-over-year increase of over 31% from $0.47 [2] - Analysts forecast Uber's revenue to be around $12.46 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of over 16% from $10.7 billion in Q2 2024 [2] - Lyft will also report earnings on August 6, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.27, compared to $0.03 in the same quarter last year [6] - Lyft's revenue is projected to be approximately $1.61 billion, representing a year-over-year increase from $1.44 billion reported in Q2 2024 [7] Group 3: Gross Bookings and Performance - Uber's guidance for Gross Bookings is projected between $45.75 billion and $47.25 billion, indicating a growth of 16-20% on a constant-currency basis [3] - Uber has surpassed consensus estimates in four of the past five quarters, with an average surprise of 212.26% [4][5] - Lyft has beaten consensus estimates in eight of the past nine quarters, with an average surprise of 24.19% [8][9] Group 4: Stock Performance - In 2025, Uber's stock has gained 44.1%, significantly outperforming Lyft's 5.6% increase [10] Group 5: Robotaxi Developments - The emergence of robotaxis presents both threats and opportunities for Uber and Lyft, with companies like Waymo and Tesla leading the charge in autonomous ride-hailing services [13] - Uber is forming partnerships with robotaxi leaders such as Waymo and Baidu, aiming to deploy 20,000 new robotaxis by 2032 [14] - Lyft is adopting an asset-light model, partnering with Mobileye for autonomous ride-hailing services [15] Group 6: Strategic Focus - Investors will be keen to see if Lyft can maintain profitability with its 'growth with discipline' strategy and how its European expansion is progressing [16] - Uber's aggressive approach in the robotaxi market will be a focal point for investors [16]