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How Safe is The 5.2% Dividend On Invesco’s Oil Fund ETF? | DBO
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-05 12:20
Core Viewpoint - Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:DBO) offers a yield that attracts income-seeking investors, but the sustainability of its distributions is questionable due to its unique income generation mechanism through oil futures contracts rather than traditional dividends [1]. Group 1: Income Generation Mechanism - DBO generates returns through oil futures contracts, investing in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures and holding short-term government securities as collateral [2]. - The fund's distributions are derived from roll yields, which are profits or losses from selling expiring futures contracts and buying longer-dated ones, employing an optimized roll strategy to minimize negative roll yields during contango markets [2]. Group 2: Distribution Safety and Volatility - DBO's distribution history shows extreme volatility, with a significant cut from $0.670 per share in 2024 to $0.428 in December 2025, resulting in a current yield of 3.5% at a price of $12.10 [3][6]. - The fund has had years with no distributions between 2009 and 2021, and the distribution pattern is inconsistent, heavily influenced by oil market conditions [4]. - Oil prices fell from $75.74 per barrel in January 2025 to $60.06 in November 2025, negatively impacting the fund's ability to generate positive roll yields [4]. Group 3: Total Returns and Investment Suitability - DBO experienced an 11.5% price decline over the past year, compounding the income issue and leading to negative total returns, indicating a yield trap where high stated yields obscure capital losses [5]. - The fund's structure makes it fundamentally unsuitable for investors seeking reliable income streams [5].