Rolling Bubbles
Search documents
A 5-10% market correction would be sensible, not irrational: Aureus' Kari Firestone
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-10-17 11:08
Market Correction & Valuation - A market correction of 5-10% would be healthy given current valuations [3] - The market has been consistently reaching new highs, indicating a need for realistic behavior [4] - Concerns exist regarding high price levels across many asset classes [23] Bubbles & Speculation - There are pockets of troublesome speculation, described as "rolling bubbles" [4] - Examples of past bubbles include meme stocks and NFTs, which did not have huge impacts on the overall market [5] - AI space stocks have seen enormous moves, with some up 30% [6] AI & Chip Industry - Potential for a 20-30% correction in chip stocks if major companies like Google scale back AI investments [11] - Chip stocks were previously considered cyclical due to customer order adjustments [9][10] - Uncertainty surrounds the return on investment from hundreds of billions of dollars in chip purchases [11] Corporate Environment & Fiscal Policy - Large companies have the ability to address their problems through deals and government interactions [14] - Tax breaks from 2017, including the 21% lower corporate tax rate, have not fully impacted the market yet [15] - Approximately $7 trillion is currently in money markets [16] Financial System & Credit - The financial system has shown resilience in absorbing bank failures [20] - There are concerns about potential problems in the private credit side and off-balance sheet issues [22][21] - Lending conditions may not have been as strict as they should have been [22]