Rule of three
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France edges towards further consolidation in telecoms
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 17:16
Group 1 - A €17bn ($20bn) proposal by Bouygues Telecom, Free-iliad Group, and Orange to acquire a significant portion of Altice's activities in France has been rejected, driven by the need for Altice's owner Patrick Drahi to reduce substantial debts [1] - The B2B assets were intended to be primarily taken over by Bouygues Telecom, while B2C activities would be shared among all bidders [2] - The proposal reflects two trends in the European telecoms market: the necessity for consolidation and the strain on investment and margins [3] Group 2 - Historical discussions on telecom mergers in Europe have not led to significant outcomes, with past proposals between major players like France Telecom and Deutsche Telekom failing to materialize [4] - While there is an intellectual argument for cross-border consolidation, cultural, political, and regulatory barriers persist, although some providers like Orange and Vodafone have successfully operated across multiple markets [5] - The 'rule of three' suggests that three competitors can effectively scale and invest in individual markets, ensuring sufficient competition to benefit customers [6] Group 3 - The combination of debt and market forces indicates that Altice/SFR will likely be broken up in the future, with questions remaining about the timing, valuation, and asset distribution [7] - Despite the concept of a single market in Europe, significant barriers to cross-border consolidation remain, with potential technological, cultural, and political implications [8]