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Can Stocks Keep Rising This Year? Here's the One Reason This Expert Says Yes
Investopedia· 2026-01-15 19:20
Key Takeaways Can the S&P 500 post another year of double-digit returns? If it does, one market expert says, it'll earn it. Some have warned that U.S. stocks can't post outsize gains forever. After a decade of posting exceptional performance, helped by a strong dollar and valuation expansion, the S&P 500's winning streak seems likely to stop or, at least, come under pressure—especially if big rate cuts aren't in the offing. But some analysts think the index has at least another good year in it. The reason? ...
Fund manager resets forecast for what happens to stocks next
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-07 14:37
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing debate centers around whether stocks can continue to rise despite high valuations, with contrasting opinions on the market's future direction [1][3]. Valuation Metrics - The S&P 500 has experienced a remarkable 35% return since April, resulting in a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.8, significantly above the 10-year average of 18.6 [2]. Market Sentiment - Proponents of continued stock growth cite a supportive Federal Reserve likely to lower interest rates, substantial cash reserves in money market accounts, and the positive impact of artificial intelligence on corporate earnings [3][5]. Expert Opinions - Dan Niles, a seasoned fund manager, believes the stock market rally can persist due to earnings growth and a favorable Fed, suggesting that investors are repositioning towards overlooked stocks [4][5]. Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve recently cut rates by a quarter-percentage point in September, with expectations for another cut in October, supported by a 94% probability according to the CME's FedWatch tool [6][7]. Employment Data - The recent job market data indicates a loss of 32,000 jobs, contrary to expectations of a gain of 45,000, prompting the Fed to consider more immediate action to address inflation and employment concerns [8].