S2F model

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X @PlanB
PlanBยท 2025-09-25 09:14
RT PlanB (@100trillionUSD)@criptopaul Seems you don't understand S2F model. S2F is NOT the colors (colors are just a timer to halvings). S2F is the average price level in halving periods (~$50k 2020-2024, ~$500k 2024-2028). S2F does NOT predict tops or bottoms. Yes I (not S2F) was wrong in 2021 when I expected $100k ...
X @PlanB
PlanBยท 2025-07-02 08:56
FYI: I still believe that bitcoin average price will be ~$0.5m this halving cycle (2024-2028).Note that S2F prediction is very rough (obviously because the prediction is made only using scarcity/S2F-ratio) with a $0.25m-$1m range (so $0.3m or $0.6m average would also be fine).PlanB (@100trillionUSD):Average bitcoin price 2020-2024 halving cycle was $34k. A bit below 2019 S2F prediction of $55k, but still in normal range and not bad given BTC<$4k when prediction was made. Refit of S2F with new data (below) s ...
X @PlanB
PlanBยท 2025-06-16 07:17
RT Adam Back (@adam3us)@bradmillscan @saylor or alternatively it could be a transition period for a parabolic break out! ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ where the S-cuver gets steeper, invalidating "diminishing return" theory, and breaking power-law, and then s2f models to the upside. that's my what-if anyway. ...