SG&A Expense

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Target's Core Operating Margin Slides to 3.7%: Tougher Road Ahead?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-24 16:50
Core Operating Margin - Target Corporation's core operating margin for Q1 fiscal 2025 is reported at 3.7%, a significant decline from the 6.2% margin that included a one-time litigation settlement gain of $593 million, reflecting a 160-basis-point drop year-over-year [1][8]. Gross Margin and Cost Factors - The gross margin decreased to 28.2% from 28.8% in the previous year, driven by increased markdowns and rising costs associated with digital fulfillment and supply-chain operations [2][8]. - The selling, general & administrative (SG&A) expense rate, excluding litigation gains, would have been higher at 21.7%, indicating ongoing investments in employee compensation and the impact of lower sales [3][8]. Future Outlook - Management anticipates that challenges from Q1, including sales pressure and tariff impacts, may persist into Q2, with an expected operating margin contraction of 110 basis points [4]. - Despite these challenges, improvements in inventory shrink and operational productivity are expected to provide some relief [4]. Comparison with Competitors - Walmart's gross margin increased by 25 basis points in Q1 fiscal 2026, supported by disciplined inventory management and improved e-commerce profitability, although tariff pressures remain a concern [5]. - Dollar General's gross margin expanded by 78 basis points to 31%, but it may face margin constraints due to tariff-related cost pressures [6]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Target's stock has declined by 8.4% over the past three months, underperforming the industry, which grew by 7.3% [7][8]. - The forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio for Target is 12.49, significantly lower than the industry average of 32.73, indicating a more attractive valuation [9]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year decline in sales and earnings per share of 1.9% and 15.2%, respectively, for the current financial year [10]. - Current estimates for sales and EPS for the upcoming quarters show a downward trend, with expected growth resuming in the following year [13][14].