Economic Overview - Consumer confidence fell to 94.2 in September, a decline of 3.6 points month over month, missing the consensus estimate of 96 [4] - The Present Situation Index dropped 7 points to 125.4, indicating a negative assessment of current business and labor market conditions [4] - Short-term expectations for income, business conditions, and employment declined to 74.8, with readings below 80 suggesting a higher risk of recession [5] - Concerns over a shrinking labor market have negatively impacted consumer confidence, with job availability assessments declining for nine consecutive months [5] - High prices of goods, exacerbated by tariffs, continue to pressure consumer spending, while inflation remains a concern [6] Investment Recommendations - It is advisable to invest in safe-haven defensive stocks from the utility sector, including Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO), Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO), NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE), and Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN), all carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [2] - Recommended stocks are categorized as low-beta (beta greater than 0 but less than 1), suggesting a focus on low-beta stocks with high dividend yields and favorable Zacks Ranks [3] Company Profiles - **Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)**: Engaged in regulated natural gas distribution and storage, serving approximately 3.3 million customers across eight states. Expected earnings growth rate is 7.3% for the current year, with a current dividend yield of 2.05% and a beta of 0.75 [7][8] - **Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO)**: Focuses on seawater desalination and water distribution in areas with scarce potable water. Expected earnings growth rate is 0.9% for the current year, with a current dividend yield of 1.60% and a beta of 0.58 [9][10] - **NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE)**: Provides reliable energy to customers in Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska. Expected earnings growth rate is 5.6% for the current year, with a current dividend yield of 4.54% and a beta of 0.40 [11][12] - **Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN)**: Builds and maintains natural gas distribution systems, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Expected earnings growth rate is 25.3% for the current year, with a current dividend yield of 4.37% and a beta of 0.59 [13][14]

Market Overview - Volatility has returned to Wall Street due to escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, with the U.S. gradually getting involved [2][5] - The Dow declined by 0.7%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.8% and 0.9%, respectively [5] - Recent geopolitical tensions have unsettled markets, which could remain volatile for an extended period [9] Investment Recommendations - It is advisable to invest in safe-haven defensive stocks from the utility sector, including Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO), Fortis, Inc. (FTS), MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU), and NiSource Inc. (NI) [3][11] - These stocks are characterized by low beta (greater than 0 but less than 1), high dividend yields, and favorable Zacks Ranks [4][11] Company Profiles Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) - Engaged in regulated natural gas distribution and storage, serving approximately 3.3 million customers across eight states [10] - Expected earnings growth rate of 6% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 0.6% over the last 60 days [12] - Current dividend yield is 2.27% and beta is 0.71 [12] Fortis, Inc. (FTS) - Operates in the electric and gas utility business, primarily in Canada, the U.S., and the Caribbean [13] - Expected earnings growth rate of 3.4% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 3.3% over the last 60 days [14] - Current dividend yield is 3.70% and beta is 0.49 [14] MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) - Provides value-added natural resource products and regulated energy delivery services [15] - Expected earnings growth rate of 5.6% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 1.1% over the last 60 days [15] - Current dividend yield is 3.18% and beta is 0.72 [15] NiSource Inc. (NI) - Delivers natural gas and electricity to approximately 3.7 million customers across six states [16] - Expected earnings growth rate of 7.4% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 0.5% over the last 60 days [17] - Current dividend yield is 2.83% and beta is 0.54 [17]