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Goldman Sees Silver Rally Extending, Warns Of Heightened Volatility - iShares Silver Trust (ARCA:SLV)
Benzingaยท 2025-10-13 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Silver has experienced a historic 77% year-to-date increase, with potential for further gains, but investors should prepare for volatility due to its smaller and less liquid market compared to gold [1][2]. Investment Dynamics - Silver's market is approximately nine times smaller than gold's, leading to more pronounced price reactions to investor inflows [2]. - The price of silver typically rises by 1.6% for every 1,000 metric tons of new silver purchased [3]. Market Imbalances - Gold-backed ETFs hold around $450 billion in assets, while silver ETFs only hold about $50 billion, creating a significant imbalance that amplifies both gains and losses for silver investors [3]. - The lack of structural support for silver, unlike gold's steady central bank demand, poses risks to its price stability [5]. Industrial Demand and Future Projections - Analysts at Bank of America predict an 11% decline in total silver demand next year, yet they believe the silver market will remain in deficit through 2026 [6]. - Despite potential declines in industrial demand, the silver price could rise toward $65 per ounce by 2026, driven by tight supply and ongoing investor interest [6]. Geopolitical Influences - Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports by the U.S., have heightened interest in safe-haven investments like silver [7][8]. - The ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China has led traders to take precautions against potential supply issues, keeping the precious metals sector in focus [8].