Same - store NOI growth
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American Healthcare REIT(AHR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 19:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported same-store NOI growth of 16.4% across the total portfolio, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit same-store NOI growth [6][9] - Normalized funds from operation (NFFO) reached $0.44 per fully diluted share, reflecting a 22% year-over-year increase [22] - The company increased its full-year 2025 NFFO guidance to a range of $1.69-$1.72 per fully diluted share, implying growth in excess of 20% year-over-year at the midpoint [23][24] - Net debt to EBITDA improved to 3.5 times, representing a 0.2-time improvement from the previous quarter and a 1.6-time improvement from Q3 2024 [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Trilogy's same-store NOI grew 21.7% year-over-year, with occupancy averaging 90.2% in Q3, up more than 270 basis points from last year [11][12] - The shop segment reported same-store NOI growth of 25.3%, with revPOR up 5.6% year-over-year and NOI margins expanding nearly 300 basis points to 21.5% [13] - Medicare Advantage accounted for 7.2% of total resident days at Trilogy during Q3, an increase from 5.8% a year ago [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company closed on over $575 million of acquisitions year-to-date, all within its REIT DEA segments [7][17] - The awarded deal pipeline now stands at over $450 million, expected to close in Q4 2025 and early 2026 [9][19] - Construction starts across senior housing remain near historic lows, while demographic growth in the 80-plus cohort accelerates [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building durable long-term growth through operating alignment with best-in-class regional operators and disciplined capital allocation [9][25] - The inaugural corporate responsibility report was published, reflecting the company's governance, social, and sustainability priorities [10] - The company is leveraging Trilogy's centralized revenue management system across other operating partners to optimize revenue [15][47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the current operating environment for long-term care, citing strong demand tailwinds [6][7] - The company expects to maintain occupancy gains achieved through the busier spring and summer selling season, despite entering a historically slower winter season [11][14] - Management anticipates continued pricing power, expecting to price at a rate higher than inflation [30] Other Important Information - The company executed $13 million of non-core dispositions during the quarter, concentrating capital within its operating portfolio [18] - The in-process development pipeline consists of projects with a total expected cost of roughly $177 million, with approximately $52 million spent to date [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the maximum occupancy upside from 90%? - Management indicated that the maximum upside from 90% to 100% is 10%, but future occupancy trends are uncertain due to supply-demand fundamentals [28][29] Question: How competitive is the current market for acquisitions? - Management noted that while there are more assets coming to market, competition is mixed, with both REITs and non-REIT competitors involved [32][33] Question: Can you discuss the acquisition strategy regarding independent living versus assisted living? - The company targets a mix of independent living, assisted living, and memory care, focusing on quality buildings that provide good earnings growth [80][81]
Regency Centers: A Glimpse At The Future Of Shopping Centers
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-14 15:34
Overview of Regency Centers - Regency Centers (NASDAQ:REG) is a large-cap shopping center REIT with over 57 million square feet of retail space across the USA [4] - The company has historically traded at a premium to the sector, but recent strong performance has attracted attention [1][2] Recent Performance - Regency reported a notable 7.4% same-store NOI growth and 9.4% FFO/share growth in the second quarter [7] - Occupancy rates have surpassed 96%, indicating strong property-level performance [8] - The company has successfully increased rental rates as occupancy rose, contributing to same-store NOI growth [10] Leasing Success - Regency achieved 19.3% GAAP leasing spreads and 10% cash leasing spreads, with new leases at 27.7% GAAP and renewals at 17.2% GAAP [21] - The company has $38 million in Signed-Not-Occupied (SNO) leases, representing about $0.21 per share in potential upside [31] - Compared to peers, Regency's leasing translates more effectively into growth metrics, with a significant difference in renewal lease terms [30][24] Valuation and Market Position - Regency is trading at 18.9X forward AFFO and 95% of net asset value, suggesting it may be undervalued given its operational excellence [18] - Despite the growth, the stock price has only increased by 15% over the past decade, indicating a disconnect between fundamentals and market valuation [15][17] - The company’s operational excellence justifies some premium, but it still faces competition from peers with similar growth potential [20] Industry Context - The shopping center sector has seen strong leasing activity, but overall same-store NOI growth has been muted across the industry [2] - Many peers are still dealing with the effects of long-term leases signed during less favorable market conditions, which hampers their growth [28][29] - The retail environment has improved since 2018, but the timing of lease expirations and renewals will impact future growth for many shopping center REITs [27][42]