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American Healthcare REIT(AHR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 19:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported same-store NOI growth of 16.4% across the total portfolio, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit same-store NOI growth [7] - Normalized funds from operation (NFFO) reached $0.44 per fully diluted share in Q3, reflecting a 22% year-over-year increase [22] - The company increased its full-year 2025 NFFO guidance to a range of $1.69-$1.72 per fully diluted share, implying growth in excess of 20% year-over-year at the midpoint [23] - Net debt to EBITDA improved to 3.5x, representing a 0.2-time improvement from the previous quarter and a 1.6-time improvement from Q3 2024 [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Trilogy's same-store NOI grew 21.7% year-over-year, with occupancy averaging 90.2% in Q3, up more than 270 basis points from last year [12] - Shop segment same-store NOI increased 25.3%, with revPOR up 5.6% year-over-year and NOI margins expanding nearly 300 basis points to 21.5% [14] - Integrated senior health campuses' same-store NOI growth guidance was increased to a range of 17%-20% [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Medicare Advantage accounted for 7.2% of total resident days at Trilogy during Q3, up from 5.8% a year ago, indicating a shift towards higher reimbursement sources [13] - Construction starts across senior housing remain near historic lows, while demographic growth in the 80+ cohort accelerates, supporting a multi-year runway for further occupancy gains [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building durable long-term growth through operating alignment with best-in-class regional operators and disciplined capital allocation [10] - The company has closed over $575 million in acquisitions year-to-date, with a pipeline of awarded deals standing at well over $450 million [9][20] - The inaugural corporate responsibility report was published, reflecting the company's commitment to governance, social, and sustainability priorities [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the current operating environment for long-term care, citing strong demand tailwinds and positive occupancy trends [8] - The company expects to maintain occupancy gains achieved through the busy spring and summer selling season, despite entering a historically slower winter season [12] - Management anticipates continued pricing power, expecting to price at a rate higher than inflation [31] Other Important Information - The company executed $13 million of non-core dispositions, concentrating capital within its operating portfolio [19] - The company is leveraging Trilogy's centralized revenue management system across other operating partners to optimize revenue [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the maximum occupancy upside from 90%? - Management indicated that the maximum upside from 90% to 100% is 10%, with expectations for metrics to continue moving in their favor due to supply-demand fundamentals [29] Question: How competitive is the current market for acquisitions? - Management noted that while there are more assets coming to market, the competition is not overly intense, with many deals being brought through operating partners [32][80] Question: Can you discuss the acquisition strategy regarding independent living versus assisted living? - Management stated that the strategy encompasses all types, focusing on quality buildings that provide good earnings growth, with a preference for newer products [87]