Uh the bankruptcies of two companies in the auto sector have heightened concerns around certain parts of the credit market. Glenn August is founder and CEO of Oakhill Adviserss and joins us now here at Case. It's good to see you. >> Good to see you.>> So you you do business in many parts of of credit, right. Private credit, leverage loans. Last year at this conference, I sat here asking people if there was a bubble in private credit.I think it's relevant now to ask you whether we're starting to see the firs ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent bankruptcies in the private credit sector, particularly the cases of First Brands and a subprime auto lender, raise concerns about the stability of this rapidly growing asset class, which has reached a size of $2 trillion [2][5]. Private Credit Market Concerns - The bankruptcies are seen as potential indicators of broader issues within private credit, which has been characterized by easy borrowing and aggressive financial assumptions [3][4]. - The slowing economy is expected to lead to reduced growth and earnings, increasing the likelihood of financial difficulties for companies reliant on private credit [4][7]. - Experts warn that the private credit market is built on optimism and lacks transparency, which could lead to unforeseen problems [6][8]. Economic Implications - The Federal Reserve's actions, particularly lowering interest rates, may mitigate some of the risks associated with a potential mini-recession, providing some relief to the private credit market [4][7]. - The opacity of lending practices in the private credit sector complicates the assessment of risk, as it is unclear at what multiples companies are borrowing [9][10]. Lending Practices - The lending environment remains robust for certain firms that can dictate terms, with lending occurring at more conservative multiples compared to the broader market [11]. - There is uncertainty regarding the overall health of the private credit market, as the lack of transparency makes it difficult to gauge the extent of potential issues [12].

Concerns Regarding Private Credit - The financial system is potentially creating a new shadow banking system as activities move away from traditional banking [1] - The economy and economic growth are exquisitely sensitive, raising questions about the performance of these investments, especially at this scale [1] - Increased size and consolidation in private credit raise concerns about underlying risks [2] - Banks' lending to private credit firms creates interconnectedness [2] - A major accident in private credit has not yet been observed [2]