Silver supercycle
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Silver Extends Gains—Up Another 13% In 2026 - iShares Silver Trust (ARCA:SLV)
Benzinga· 2026-01-06 18:01
Core Viewpoint - Silver has experienced a significant rally, gaining 13% in the first week of 2026, following a strong performance in 2025 where it broke through long-standing resistance levels [1]. Geopolitical Factors - The surge in silver prices is partly driven by increased geopolitical risks, particularly related to Venezuela, which has led to a flight to safety among investors [3]. - Speculation about potential tariffs on refined silver imports has intensified demand for domestic supply, pushing prices closer to the psychological resistance level of $85 [4]. Strategic Importance - Silver's recent addition to the U.S. Critical Minerals List has elevated its strategic importance, subjecting it to Section 232 investigations, which could lead to future tariffs [5]. Market Dynamics - The iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV) has seen significant inflows, indicating a structural supply-demand imbalance rather than mere speculation, with a notable shortage of physical silver in China [6]. - The current price action suggests that silver is in a "blue sky" phase, with limited technical resistance above its 2025 closing record of $75 [6]. Mining Sector Impact - Silver mining companies, particularly those in the Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSE:SIL), are experiencing substantial earnings growth due to fixed mining costs, which means that increases in spot prices directly enhance profitability [7]. - Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE:WPM) is highlighted as well-positioned to benefit from upcoming production ramp-ups in 2026, providing a high-margin investment opportunity [7]. Industrial Demand - The ongoing industrial demand for silver, particularly in solar panels and electric vehicle components, is expected to continue outpacing mine production, suggesting that the recent price gains may signal the start of a long-term silver supercycle [8].