Small-cap stocks outperformance

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Small-Cap ETFs Outperform on Inflation Data
ZACKSยท 2025-08-13 16:31
Market Performance - Small-cap stocks outperformed major U.S. stock market indices on August 12, with the Russell 2000 Index gaining nearly 3%, marking its largest one-day rally since May [1] - The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) also saw a jump of about 3% [1] Inflation and Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year over year in July, slightly below the forecast of 2.8%, while core inflation increased to 3.1% from June's 2.9% [3] - The softer inflation data has strengthened the case for potential Fed rate cuts in September, with futures markets pricing in a 94% chance of a quarter-point cut [3] Small Business Sentiment - Optimism among small business owners increased in July, with the small business optimism index climbing to 100.3, the highest level since February and above the 52-year average of 98 [5] - This rise in optimism may indicate a stabilizing business environment, positively impacting small-cap stocks and ETFs [5] ETF Performance - Invesco S&P SmallCap Industrials ETF (PSCI) rose 3.8%, focusing on 93 small-cap companies in industrial sectors [6] - Invesco S&P SmallCap Information Technology ETF (PSCT) increased by 3.7%, providing exposure to 69 small-cap tech companies [7] - Invesco S&P SmallCap Value with Momentum ETF (XSVM) gained 3.6%, tracking 122 stocks with high value and momentum scores [8] - Invesco S&P SmallCap Quality ETF (XSHQ) also rose 3.6%, holding 121 stocks with high quality scores [9][10] - First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund (FYT) increased by 3.5%, tracking 262 stocks from the Nasdaq US 700 Small Cap Value Index [11] Sector Trends - Financials, industrials, and consumer discretionary stocks, which make up over half of the Russell 2000, are experiencing strong rebounds [13] - Regional banks are stabilizing as credit risks recede, while manufacturing and transportation sectors benefit from improved supply chains and infrastructure spending [13] M&A Activity - There is an uptick in dealmaking within healthcare, biotech, and tech services, with large-cap companies targeting small and mid-sized firms for growth [14] - This M&A momentum is attracting active managers and hedge funds, injecting fresh liquidity into the small-cap space [14] Valuation Trends - Large-cap valuations have become stretched after a prolonged rally, while small-caps remain relatively discounted, prompting institutional investors to rotate into under-owned segments like small-caps [12]