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This Video Game Stock Is Up Over 100% Year to Date. Can the Climb Continue?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-08-03 07:45
Core Insights - Roblox has surpassed 100 million daily active users, with growth accelerating, and management expects full-year revenue to increase by 22% to 25% year over year [1][2] - The platform's user base is diversifying, with a significant increase in users aged 13 and older, now totaling 71.4 million, up from 61 million in the previous quarter [5] - Roblox's revenue for Q2 reached $1.1 billion, marking a 21% year-over-year increase, driven by higher user engagement and spending [7] User Engagement and Demographics - The total hours engaged on the platform reached 27 billion in Q2, a 58% increase year over year, indicating that older players are spending more time on Roblox compared to younger users [6] - The platform's content is increasingly appealing to an older demographic, suggesting a shift in user engagement dynamics [4] Revenue Opportunities - Roblox aims to capture 10% of the $180 billion annual video game spending, which could translate to approximately $18 billion in annual revenue [8] - The company is exploring advertising opportunities, with a partnership with Google Ads to implement immersive ad formats, potentially generating $1.2 billion in ad revenue by 2026 [9][10] Financial Performance and Valuation - Roblox is projected to achieve a full-year free cash flow of $1 billion, with high margins from advertising expected to enhance profitability [11] - The stock is currently trading at nearly 20 times forward sales and 94 times forward free cash flow, reflecting its growth potential and market position [12] - If the stock were to drop significantly, it could still be considered a bargain given the expected 60% year-over-year free cash flow growth for 2025 [13] Future Outlook - Management believes that if growth targets are met, the stock could reach new highs over the next five years, supported by a robust user growth rate exceeding 40% year over year [15]