Social Security Cost-of-Living Adjustment
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Black Coffee: Wolves In Sheep’s Clothing
Len Penzo Dot Com· 2025-09-20 08:00
Economic Overview - American drivers are projected to spend less than 2% of their disposable income on gasoline in 2025, the lowest share since 2005, excluding the pandemic year of 2020 [4] - The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) is expected to be 2.7% in 2026, slightly higher than the previous year's 2.5%, but still below the inflation rate [7] - The average single-family American homeowner is now paying approximately $2,370 annually for property insurance, a 70% increase since the pandemic, with premiums rising 4.9% in the first half of this year alone [11] Energy Sector Insights - European grid capacity shortages persist due to reliance on intermittent wind and solar energy, leading to soaring energy prices and increased power bills [7] - The need for more fossil fuel power plants is emphasized, as ramping up nuclear plants will take over 15 years to address current grid vulnerabilities [7][9] Stock Market Performance - Major US stock indices, including the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, reached all-time highs, with the Dow rising 1% and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq increasing by 1.2% and 2.2% respectively [13] - The Buffett Indicator stands at 214, significantly above its long-term average of 86, indicating potential overvaluation in the stock market [16] National Debt Concerns - The US National Debt has reached $37 trillion, with additional unfunded obligations exceeding $100 trillion, raising concerns about the sustainability of fiscal policies [20][23] - Analysts warn that financial repression and fiscal dominance could weaken the USD's appeal, as suppressed yields reduce real returns on US assets [23] Housing Market Analysis - A study by WalletHub identified states with the healthiest housing markets, highlighting the ten states with the lowest mortgage delinquency rates [27]