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First Solar or Canadian Solar: Which Stock Stands Out in the Solar Boom?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-31 16:11
Core Insights - Global investments in clean energy are increasing, with solar power emerging as a rapidly growing electricity source, creating opportunities for companies like First Solar (FSLR) and Canadian Solar (CSIQ) [1] Group 1: First Solar (FSLR) - Recent achievements include the commencement of operations at a fourth manufacturing facility in the U.S. and plans for a fifth facility, targeting over 25 gigawatts (GW) annual production capacity by the end of 2026 [4][11] - As of March 2025, FSLR signed contracts to deliver 66.1 GW of modules valued at $19.8 billion, ensuring a stable income stream through 2030 [5] - Financial stability is highlighted by cash and cash equivalents totaling $891 million, with long-term debt at $328 million and current debt at $197 million, indicating a strong solvency position [6] - Challenges include concerns over increased production capacity among solar manufacturers, particularly in China, which could lead to oversupply and price drops [7] - Manufacturing defects in Series 7 modules could impact near-term performance, with estimated costs ranging from $56 million to $100 million [8] Group 2: Canadian Solar (CSIQ) - Recent achievements include securing $260 million in financing for the Blue Moon Solar project in Kentucky and bringing the Papago Storage facility online with 1200 megawatt-hours (MWh) of battery storage capacity [9][10] - Financial stability is weaker, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $2.02 billion, while current debt is $2.92 billion and long-term debt is $3.22 billion, indicating a weak solvency position [13] - Challenges include pressure from global oversupply, leading to a net loss of $34 million in Q1 2025, and ongoing trade tensions that may raise costs due to new U.S. tariffs [14][15] Group 3: Comparative Analysis - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FSLR indicates an 18.5% improvement in sales and a 23.2% increase in earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 [16] - In contrast, CSIQ's sales are expected to improve by only 4.3%, with a projected loss per share of $1.74, indicating a deterioration from the previous year [17] - Stock price performance shows FSLR down 18%, outperforming CSIQ, which is down 25.1% over the past year [19] - Valuation metrics indicate FSLR trading at a forward sales multiple of 3.46X, while CSIQ is at 0.11X, suggesting a more attractive valuation for Canadian Solar despite its challenges [20] Group 4: Final Assessment - First Solar shows better near-term prospects due to financial stability and robust earnings generation opportunities compared to Canadian Solar, which faces more significant challenges [23]