Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Machines' recent stock price decline presents a potential buying opportunity for new investors despite its previous high valuation [3][10]. Company Overview - Intuitive Machines is recognized as a pioneering space company, notably for being the first private entity to successfully land a spacecraft on the moon [5]. - The company has completed two moon landings, both of which had partial success, and has secured contracts with NASA for two additional landings in 2026 and 2027 [6]. Revenue and Contracts - The company received $132 million for its first moon landing and $122 million for the second, with a third mission priced at $87 million, potentially increasing with commercial customer contributions [7]. - A significant contract with NASA worth $4.8 billion over ten years for building a Near Space Network is expected to generate $480 million annually, which is four times the value of a lander contract [8]. Valuation Insights - Intuitive Machines reported $217 million in revenue last year, suggesting a market valuation of less than $880 million based on typical space stock valuation metrics [10]. - Current market capitalization estimates range from $1.3 billion to as high as $2 billion, indicating a potential undervaluation [10][12]. - Future revenue projections, assuming continued contracts and operations, could lead to a valuation of $2.4 billion, even under unprofitable conditions [12].

There's a good reason most analysts don't try to make guesses this far in the future.Last month, I climbed out on a limb to ask (and answer) the question: Where will Rocket Lab USA (RKLB -2.70%) stock be in five years? For a fast-growing but still-unprofitable space stock with only one rocket in service -- the tiny Electron model that's much smaller than what larger competitors like SpaceX and United Launch Alliance fly -- it wasn't an easy question to answer.On the plus side, at least I had a few analyst f ...