Speculative vapourware
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X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-09-15 20:11
Robotics & AI Market Overview - The robotics industry is still in its early stages, with current robot performance considered subpar [1] - AI advancements are expected to improve robot coordination and functionality [1] - A surge in retail interest is anticipated once robots become affordable for household chores [1] - "Half decent" humanoid robots are currently priced around $10,000, considered expensive for everyday households [1] Decentralized Physical AI (DePAI) & Crypto - Speculative vaporware in the DePAI space is expected to drive an AI cycle, potentially larger than Q1 [2] - Focus should be on DePAI projects with real revenues and product-market fit outside of crypto [2] - Projects like Aethir ($160 million ARR), Peaq, and USDai are worth monitoring [3] - Crypto vehicles offer access to private rounds of traditional robotics companies like Apptronik and Figure [3] Future Outlook - An AI/DeAI/DePAI supercycle is anticipated within the next 12 months, possibly sooner with favorable macro conditions [4]
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-09-15 15:27
Robotics & AI Market Overview - The robotics industry is still in its early stages, with current robot performance being somewhat underwhelming [1] - Improvements in AI will enhance robot coordination and functionality [1] - A surge in retail interest is expected once robots become affordable for household chores [1] - A "half decent" humanoid robot currently costs $10,000, considered expensive but not prohibitive [1] Decentralized Physical AI (DePAI) & Crypto - Speculative vaporware in the DePAI space is anticipated, potentially driving a significant AI cycle [2] - Focus should be on DePAI projects with real revenues and product-market fit outside of crypto [2] - Projects like Aethir ($160 million ARR), Peaq, and USDai are noteworthy [3] - Crypto vehicles offer access to private rounds of traditional robotics companies like Apptronik and Figure [3] Future Outlook - An AI/DeAI/DePAI supercycle is expected within the next 12 months, possibly sooner if macro conditions improve [4]
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-09-14 19:02
Robotics Industry Outlook - The robotics trade is still in its early stages, with current robot movement and coordination needing improvement [1] - AI advancements will enhance robot coordination and functionality, leading to increased retail interest once robots become affordable for household chores [1] - A "half decent" humanoid robot currently costs $10 thousand, which is still too expensive for everyday households [1] Decentralized Physical AI (DePAI) Market - The DePAI sector may experience a speculative bubble, similar to the AI cycle in Q1, driven by "vapourware" projects [2] - Projects with real revenues and product-market fit outside of crypto should be closely monitored [2] - Projects like Aethir ($160 million ARR), Peaq, and USDai are noteworthy, along with potentially some TAO subnets/affiliated companies [3] - Crypto vehicles offer access to private rounds of traditional robotics companies like Apptronik and Figure through their tokens [3] Market Prediction - An AI/DeAI/DePAI Supercycle is anticipated within the next 12 months, potentially sooner if macro conditions become very bullish [4]