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Why Netflix Buying Warner Bros. Discovery Is A Bad Bet For Investors
ZeroHedge· 2025-12-19 23:50
Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) by Netflix is facing significant scrutiny and skepticism from various stakeholders, raising concerns about its viability and potential risks for investors [2][3][6][10]. Group 1: Industry Concerns - The Writers Guild of America and prominent political figures, including Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, have expressed concerns regarding the Netflix-WBD deal, emphasizing that it is primarily about growth and job support [1]. - Industry skepticism is prevalent, with former WarnerMedia CEO Jason Kilar stating that selling WBD to Netflix could effectively reduce competition in Hollywood, which could be cited in regulatory memos [6]. - Filmmaker James Cameron warned that the acquisition would be a "disaster," highlighting Netflix's dismissal of theatrical film distribution, reinforcing concerns about platform dominance [7]. Group 2: Regulatory and Legal Challenges - The deal is expected to face antitrust scrutiny, which could delay or prevent its closure, leading to increased financing uncertainty and potential risks for investors [3][4][9]. - Netflix has hired a prominent antitrust lawyer, indicating the anticipated scrutiny and potential challenges the acquisition may face [4]. - President Trump has indicated a preference for a buyer willing to acquire the entire company, including CNN, which Netflix has shown no interest in, while Paramount has made a higher all-cash offer for WBD [8]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The nature of Netflix's stock-heavy transaction introduces timeline risks that could extend the review process into years, contrasting with all-cash deals that typically clear regulatory reviews more quickly [9]. - Markets tend to react negatively to uncertainty, and the prevailing sentiment among investors is to back deals that are more likely to close, making the Netflix acquisition appear less favorable [10].