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Sterling's Transportation Margins Rebound: A Structural Shift?
ZACKS· 2026-02-16 18:05
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) has achieved significant margin expansion in its Transportation Solutions segment, shifting from a volume-driven model to one focused on disciplined project selection and higher-margin technical expertise [1][2] Financial Performance - Transportation Solutions segment revenues increased by 10% year over year, with adjusted operating profit rising by 40% and adjusted operating margins expanding by 335 basis points to 15.6% [1] - The segment ended the quarter with a backlog of $733 million, reflecting a 23% year-over-year increase [1] Strategic Transition - The ongoing wind-down of the low-bid heavy-highway business in Texas is identified as a key driver of margin improvement, with expectations of enhanced profitability as lower-margin projects are completed by the first half of 2026 [2] - Standardized processes and disciplined cost controls are helping to limit rework and schedule overruns, allowing for revenue scaling while expanding margins [2] Future Outlook - Sterling anticipates Transportation margins to remain structurally higher, forecasting operating margins of 13.5%-14% for 2025, up from 9.6% in 2024 [3] - The company expects continued growth in core markets and more than two years of backlog visibility, positioning the segment for stable and profitable growth [3][4] Competitive Landscape - Sterling operates in a competitive infrastructure construction market alongside larger firms such as MasTec, Inc. and EMCOR Group, Inc. [5] - MasTec's Pipeline Infrastructure segment has shown sequential EBITDA margin growth of 390 basis points to 15.4%, indicating potential for continued margin improvements [6] - EMCOR is a leading provider in electrical and mechanical construction, with significant exposure to mission-critical facilities [7] Stock Performance - STRL shares have gained 54.6% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Engineering - R and D Services industry, the broader Construction sector, and the S&P 500 Index [8] Earnings Estimates - STRL's earnings estimates for 2026 have increased to $12.21 from $11.95 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 16.8% [10] - Current earnings estimates for the current quarter and next quarter are $2.66 and $2.15, respectively, with the current year estimate at $10.45 [11] Valuation - STRL stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36.71, which is a premium compared to its industry peers [12]