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Where Will Uber Technologies Stock Be in 1 Year?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-09-07 08:25
Core Insights - Uber Technologies' stock has increased nearly 30% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500, which rose less than 20% [1] - The company has gained more customers, streamlined its operations, and expanded its subscription-based platform [1] Business Performance - From 2020 to 2024, Uber's monthly active platform consumers (MAPCs) grew from 93 million to 171 million, annual trips increased from 5 billion to 11.3 billion, gross bookings rose from $57.9 billion to $162.8 billion, and annual revenue surged from $11.1 billion to $44 billion [4] - Uber's U.S. market share increased from 71% in October 2020 to 76% in March 2024, while Lyft's market share decreased from 29% to 24% [5] Growth Metrics - Year-over-year growth rates for monthly active platform consumers are projected at 14% for Q2 2025, with trips growth at 18% for Q1 to Q2 2025 [6] - Gross bookings growth is expected to be 17% for Q2 2025, while revenue growth is anticipated at 18% for the same period [7] Subscription and Service Expansion - The Uber One subscription platform saw a 60% increase in subscribers, reaching 30 million by the end of 2024 and 36 million by Q2 2025 [7] - Subscribers reportedly spend three times more than non-subscribers [7] - Uber is diversifying its services with grocery and retail deliveries, cost-effective options for riders, and new enterprise and healthcare services [8] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA became positive in 2022 and nearly quadrupled over the next two years, with GAAP profitability achieved in 2023 [9] - Profits increased significantly due to divesting unprofitable businesses, workforce reduction, and streamlining operations [10] Future Projections - Analysts forecast revenue growth of 17% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 34% for 2025 [11] - For 2026, revenue and adjusted EBITDA are expected to rise by 15% and 27%, respectively, with potential stock price increase of 30% over the next year [12]