Market Overview - The current market environment is characterized by changing global supply, demand, and investor sentiment, with precious metals leading gains alongside industrial metals, as indicated by a 10% increase in the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) as of November 19, 2025 [2] - Four out of six BCOM sectors reported gains in Q3, while petroleum rose by 4%, with grains and energy sectors being exceptions [2] - China's major commodity imports eased in October, with iron ore showing resilience despite declines in crude oil, natural gas, and coal [3] - The World Bank's Commodity Markets Outlook predicts a 7% decline in global commodity prices in 2026 due to subdued economic activity, trade tensions, and excess oil supplies, while precious metals are expected to grow by 5% [4] LNG Supply Growth - Global LNG supply is projected to grow by 10.2% in 2026, driven by U.S. expansions, with capacity expected to rise to 130 million tons in 2026 from 90 million tons in 2024 [5] Investment Strategy - The list of the 12 best commodity stocks is curated based on hedge fund interest, utilizing data from Insider Monkey's hedge fund database, which tracks 983 stocks as of Q2 2025 [8] - Research indicates that imitating top stock picks of leading hedge funds can lead to market outperformance [9] Company Highlights Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (NYSE:APD) - Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. is among the top commodity stocks, with 53 hedge fund holders [11] - The company reported Q4 FY25 EPS of $3.39, slightly above the forecast of $3.38, with a full-year EPS of $12.03, down 3% year-over-year [13] - Management highlighted a focus on cost-reset strategies, including a 16% workforce reduction, and stable operating margins at 23.7% [13] - The NEOM green hydrogen project is nearly 90% complete, with expectations for ammonia output in 2027 [14] EOG Resources, Inc. (NYSE:EOG) - EOG Resources, Inc. also has 53 hedge fund holders and maintained a price target of $145 with a "Buy" rating [16] - The company reported Q3 net income of $1.5 billion and free cash flow of $1.4 billion, with adjusted EPS of $2.71 [17] - EOG returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and repurchases, with regular dividend payments increasing by 8% year-over-year [18] - The company raised its free cash flow guidance to $4.5 billion, ending the quarter with $3.5 billion in cash [19] The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) - The Mosaic Company has 54 hedge fund holders and received a "Buy" rating from Goldman Sachs, with a lowered price target from $37 to $33 [21][22] - The company reported Q3 net income of $411 million, up from $122 million year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $806 million [23] - Mosaic aims to achieve $250 million in cost savings by 2026, having already recorded $150 million in reductions [25]