Investment Rating - The report indicates a bullish sentiment among investors, with stock allocation at 8-month highs and cash levels at a low of 3.8% [1][13][15]. Core Insights - Investor sentiment is the most bullish since February 2025, with a notable increase in growth optimism and a significant drop in global recession concerns [2][25]. - The most crowded trade is "long gold" at 43%, while the biggest tail risk identified is the "AI bubble" at 33% [3][30]. - A record 54% of investors believe AI stocks are in a bubble, reflecting a shift in sentiment from previous months [35][36]. Summary by Sections Macro & Policy - Global recession concerns are at their lowest since February 2022, with a 6-month surge in growth optimism [2][25]. - Expectations for a soft landing are at 54%, while 33% expect no landing and only 8% foresee a hard landing [26][27]. Risks & Crowds - The most crowded trade is "long gold" (43%), and the primary systemic credit event risk is identified as "private equity/credit" (57%) [3][5][34]. - 60% of investors believe global stocks are overvalued, marking a record high [46]. Asset Allocation - Investors are most overweight in commodities since March 2023, with a net 14% overweight position [62]. - Emerging market equities have seen a significant increase in allocation, now at a net 46% overweight, the highest since February 2021 [67][70]. Trading Ideas - Contrarian trades suggested include long bonds-short stocks and long UK-short EM [4]. Liquidity & Cash Levels - Liquidity conditions are rated positively by 59% of investors, the highest since September 2021 [40][42]. - The average cash level among investors has dropped to 3.8%, indicating a strong inclination towards equities [15][14]. Expectations for Bond Yields - A net 28% of investors expect higher long-term rates in 2026, the highest since June 2022 [43][44]. AI and Productivity - 52% of investors believe AI is already increasing productivity, with expectations for further increases in the coming years [36][38].