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Could a Short Squeeze Start Brewing in BARK Stock Following a New Go-Private Offer?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-14 19:04
Valuation and Financial Performance - BARK trades at approximately 0.31× price/sales compared to a 1.15× specialty-retail median, with a price/book ratio near multi-year lows at 1.6×, indicating potential upside if subscriber growth stabilizes and margins improve [1] - In Q2, BARK reported revenue of $107 million, a 15% year-over-year decline, driven by fewer subscription orders, while direct-to-consumer sales fell 20% [11] - The net loss widened to $10.7 million from a $5.3 million loss in the prior year, and free cash flow was negative $19.9 million, with cash on hand at $63.4 million [11][12] Market Activity and Investor Sentiment - BARK shares fell about 50% over the past year due to slowing growth, softening demand, and rising costs, but a recent 30% rally was sparked by takeover speculation [2] - A non-binding take-private proposal at $0.90 per share from an insider group led by CEO Matt Meeker sent shares surging over 30%, putting BARK back on traders' radar [6][8] - Analyst sentiment is mixed, with Canaccord Genuity adopting a cautious stance and lowering its price target to $2, while Lake Street Capital Markets maintains a "Buy" rating with a target of $3, reflecting a potential upside of 150% to 400% [13][14] Strategic Initiatives and Challenges - BARK introduced a Subscriber Perks package valued at approximately $1,500 annually for BarkBox members to enhance subscriber value and monetization [3] - The company is focused on cost discipline and diversification, having repaid a $45 million convertible note, making it debt-free, and extending its $35 million line of credit [12] - The consumer-discretionary sector faces pressure from economic uncertainty, inflation, and tariffs, impacting margins and leading to choppy trading for pet and subscription-based retailers [7]