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DraftKings and Flutter Stocks Are Falling. 2 Threats That Could Be Bigger Than Prediction Markets.
Barronsยท 2025-11-04 16:32
Core Viewpoint - DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment stocks have been downgraded by BofA Securities due to profit volatility and tax risks, with price targets lowered significantly [3][6][9]. Company Performance - DraftKings' stock fell 3.7% to $29.44, while Flutter's shares dropped 3.4% to $223.22, both experiencing double-digit declines in 2025 [4][6]. - The investment bank has lowered DraftKings' price target from $48 to $35 and Flutter's from $325 to $250 [3][6]. Market Competition - The rise of prediction markets, such as Kalshi, poses a competitive threat to traditional sports betting platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel [5][10]. - Prediction markets operate under different regulations, which may undermine the business models of established sportsbooks [5][11]. Financial Projections - BofA projects that hold volatility during the football season will reduce DraftKings' EBITDA by $150 million and Flutter's by $100 million per quarter [6][8]. - The firm anticipates ongoing pressure from increasing state gaming taxes in the U.S. and potential higher taxes in the U.K. for Flutter, impacting profit margins [9][10]. Analyst Sentiment - Despite the downgrades, some analysts believe that both companies can recover, with over 85% of analysts rating their stocks as Buy or equivalent [12].