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IBKR vs. BGC: Which Brokerage Tech Stock Has Better Upside Potential?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-29 17:16
Core Insights - Interactive Brokers (IBKR) and BGC Group (BGC) are key players in the brokerage and financial services sector, each targeting different market niches while utilizing advanced technology and electronic trading infrastructure [1][2]. Group 1: Business Models and Market Focus - IBKR focuses on low-cost, technology-driven execution, catering to professional traders, hedge funds, and sophisticated retail investors [2]. - BGC specializes in brokerage services for fixed income, rates, credit, and energy markets, along with data, analytics, and software solutions [2][9]. Group 2: Recent Performance and Growth Potential - Both firms have benefited from increased investor participation in volatile markets, but IBKR is noted for its technological superiority and consistent revenue growth [3][4]. - IBKR's total net revenues have shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.8% from 2019 to 2024, with continued growth expected in 2025 [5]. - BGC's revenues have seen a CAGR of 1.5% over the past five years, indicating slower growth compared to IBKR [13]. Group 3: Innovations and Product Offerings - IBKR has introduced several innovative features, including zero-commission trading in Singapore and the Impact Dashboard for sustainable investing [6][7]. - BGC has enhanced its electronic trading capabilities through its Fenics platform and has made strategic acquisitions to strengthen its market position in energy and commodities [9][11]. Group 4: Financial Metrics and Valuation - IBKR's 2025 revenue estimates are projected at $5.80 billion, with earnings expected to grow by 14.8% year-over-year [14][15]. - BGC's 2025 revenue estimates are pegged at $2.92 billion, with a higher year-over-year growth rate of 29% [16][17]. - IBKR's current price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 5.98, while BGC's is lower at 3.97, indicating BGC may be more attractive from a valuation perspective [20]. Group 5: Investment Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - IBKR has gained 55.4% in stock price this year, reflecting strong investor sentiment, while BGC's stock has only increased by 2.3% [19]. - Analysts have a bullish outlook on IBKR, ranking it as a Strong Buy, while BGC holds a Hold rating, suggesting a more cautious approach [28].