Summary of GDS Holdings Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GDS Holdings Ltd (GDS.O, GDS US) - **Industry**: Greater China Telecoms - **Market Cap**: Rmb48,726 million - **Current Stock Price**: US$34.56 - **Price Target**: US$54.00, indicating a 56% upside potential [5][5][5] Key Points Industry Dynamics - **Demand for Data Centers**: GDS is experiencing decent demand from traditional CPU businesses, particularly in food delivery, which has expanded from key customers. Orders are primarily utilizing existing inventories, requiring limited incremental capital expenditure [1][1][1] - **Supply Constraints**: The company noted that government window guidance is restricting incremental supply to the market, which could lead to better pricing in the future if sustained [3][3][3] Financial Outlook - **Capex and Capacity**: GDS aims to deliver 200-300MW of annual capacity in the future with approximately Rmb5 billion in capital expenditure per year. Even without breakthroughs in NVIDIA chipset supply, the company believes it can secure orders backed by domestic GPUs and traditional workloads [2][2][2] - **Projected Revenue Growth**: Revenue projections for the upcoming fiscal years are as follows: - 2025: Rmb11,514 million - 2026: Rmb12,964 million - 2027: Rmb14,664 million [5][5][5] Investment Risks - **Market Risks**: Potential risks include increased competition leading to pricing compression, a reversal of the downward trend in interest rates, and hyperscalers reducing their capital expenditures, particularly in AI investments [10][10][10] - **Valuation Methodology**: The base case valuation includes an estimated EV/EBITDA multiple of 15x for GDS China and 17.5x for GDS International, with a discount applied due to GDSI's shorter track record [10][10][10] Analyst Ratings - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Industry View**: Attractive [5][5][5] Additional Insights - **EPS Projections**: Expected EPS for the upcoming years are projected as follows: - 2025: (Rmb2.96) - 2026: (Rmb1.74) - 2027: Rmb2.50 [5][5][5] - **52-Week Stock Range**: US$15.91 - US$52.50 [5][5][5] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting GDS Holdings Ltd's current market position, financial outlook, and potential risks within the Greater China Telecoms industry.