Two-sided risk
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The 'risk management cut' that Jay Powell talked about was the right thing to do: Roger Ferguson
Youtube· 2025-09-18 11:13
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, marking the first cut since late last year, with a vote of 11 to 1 [1][2] - The Fed signaled the possibility of two more rate cuts before the end of the year, indicating a complex economic environment with two-sided risks [2][7] - Inflation remains high, approximately 50% above the target of 2%, while the labor market shows signs of weakness, complicating policy decisions [5][6][12] Group 2 - The concept of a "risk management cut" was introduced, suggesting a proactive approach to manage potential downside risks in the labor market [5][7] - Recent retail sales data surprised on the upside, indicating that the economy still has some momentum despite concerns of a slowdown [13][14] - The housing market remains complicated, with a significant shortage of 2 to 3 million houses, and the recent rate cut is not expected to dramatically change the housing outlook [15][16]