U.S. Recession
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US Can Avoid Recession If The 'Well-To-Do' Continue To Spend, Says Moody's Economist: 'If They Turn More Cautious...' - Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzingaยท 2025-09-17 14:02
Core Insights - The spending of the top 20% of U.S. households has significantly outpaced inflation since the pandemic, indicating a reliance on wealthy individuals for economic stability [2][3] - A warning has been issued regarding the potential economic trouble if the spending of these affluent households decreases [2][3] - There is a growing financial divide in the U.S. economy, with higher-income households experiencing stronger wage growth compared to lower-income households [3] Economic Impact - The U.S. economy is largely powered by the spending of wealthy individuals, and as long as they continue to spend, the risk of recession remains low [3] - However, a shift towards more cautious spending by these households could lead to significant economic issues [3] - Moody's Analytics has indicated a 48% probability of a U.S. recession within the next 12 months, highlighting concerns about rising inequality and a "jobs recession" [3] Income Inequality - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, has commented on the growing income inequality, emphasizing the need for economic growth that benefits everyone [4] - Dimon pointed out that the bottom 30% of income earners have not seen improvements, contrasting with the success of the top 0.1% [4] Market Performance - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) have shown significant increases of 12.9% and 15.66%, respectively, reflecting market responses to economic conditions [4]