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Is COP's Marathon Oil Acquisition Driving Profitability and Growth?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-26 19:15
Core Insights - ConocoPhillips (COP) acquired Marathon Oil in November 2024, significantly expanding its low-cost resource base in the U.S. Lower 48 region [1][3] - The acquisition has led to a nearly 25% increase in low-cost supply, primarily from Marathon Oil's Permian Basin resources [2] - COP is on track to achieve over $1 billion in annual synergies by the end of 2025, doubling initial estimates of $500 million [2][8] - The company has optimized production by implementing a steady-state drilling program, reducing the number of rigs and frac crews by almost 30% [2][8] Company Positioning - The acquisition strengthens COP's position as a leading shale operator in the U.S., enhancing its cash flow profile and future profit potential [3] - COP's shares have declined by 5.4% over the past year, compared to a 10.8% decline in the industry [7] - The company's current enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio stands at 5.43x, below the industry average of 11.22x [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for COP's 2025 earnings has been revised downward over the past 30 days, with current estimates at $6.38 per share [12]