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Is LMT Stock a Buy, Hold or Sell After 17.8% Rise in a Month?
ZACKS· 2026-02-05 13:46
Core Insights - Lockheed Martin's shares have increased by 17.8% in the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry's growth of 4% [1][8] - The company benefits from a strong presence across various military branches and defense IT programs, leading to high switching costs and long-term government commitments [1][4] Company Performance - Lockheed Martin has secured a $328.5 million Foreign Military Sales contract for advanced infrared sensing technology, enhancing its position in international defense markets [5][8] - The F-35 program is a key growth driver, contributing approximately 27% of total consolidated net sales in 2025, with a backlog of 368 jets [10][20] - The company's Aeronautics segment reported a year-over-year sales growth of 6.4% in Q4 2025 [10] Financial Metrics - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lockheed Martin's 2026 earnings per share (EPS) has increased by 0.47% over the past 60 days, with a long-term earnings growth rate projected at 14.69% [12] - Lockheed Martin has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 14.01% [14] - The company's total debt to capital ratio stands at 76.35%, which is higher than the industry average of 51.29% [15] Valuation - Lockheed Martin's forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 1.78X, which is a discount compared to the industry's average of 2.73X, indicating a lower price relative to expected sales growth [17] Market Outlook - The rising U.S. defense budget and key contract wins are expected to strengthen Lockheed Martin's global reach and innovation capabilities [19] - Despite the positive growth projections, the company faces financial pressures and higher debt levels, suggesting that new investors may want to wait for a better entry point [20]